When the Buildout Breaks: models, simulations, dashboard and working paper Copyright 2026 Yassin Khalil The code, documentation and paper in this repository were written by Claude (Anthropic) at the direction of Yassin Khalil. ATTRIBUTION NOTICE (Apache License 2.0, section 4(d)) If you redistribute this work, or a work derived from it, you must keep this NOTICE text: either as a NOTICE file shipped with your work, or in its documentation, or in an "About" or credits screen, wherever such notices normally appear. We also ask, as a matter of credit, that anything which uses these models, results or text says so and cites the paper: Khalil, Y. (2026). "When the Buildout Breaks: How Likely Is an AI Bust, and How Bad Would It Be?" Working paper, Edition 2. Written by Claude (Anthropic). Not investment advice. The probabilities and loss figures are model output for analysis, resting on stated judgment calls. They are not forecasts.